Scientific Forecaster Discussion

000 fxus63 kict 171126 afdict Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Wichita Kansas 526 am CST Mon Dec 17 2018 Short term...(today through Wednesday night) issued at 206 am CST Mon Dec 17 2018 Pleasant warm above normal temperatures will prevail for today and Tuesday across Kansas as surface high pressure slides slowly eastward. Otherwise current satellite water vapor imagery shows a upper level wave near the California coastline. This system will move east across the southwestern states today and eject slowly east towards Oklahoma for Tuesday into Wednesday. Meanwhile a powerful upper level jet over the eastern Pacific will approach the northwest coastline. This strong jet energy will spread southeast across The Rockies on Wednesday, and induce rapid intensification of a closed upper level low pressure system for late Wednesday night into Thursday across eastern Oklahoma. The main impact from this system for Kansas will be very strong north winds persisting for late Wednesday afternoon through Thursday. Gefs 850mb standardized anomaly wind speeds of 2 to 3 deviations above normal would support possible Wind Advisory levels being attained. Could also see scattered light rain showers with this system on Wednesday with southeast Kansas having the better chances of seeing rain. Long term...(thursday through sunday) issued at 206 am CST Mon Dec 17 2018 Very strong north winds will continue on Thursday across Kansas as surface low pressure deepens over the lower Mississippi Valley region. The cold air associated with this system is not very strong so only expecting a slight cool down for temperatures on Thursday/Friday. Long range models are showing another possible cold front pushing across Kansas on Saturday with a colder airmass than Thursday. && Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Tuesday morning) issued at 522 am CST Mon Dec 17 2018 Aviation concerns are expected to remain minimal through the next 24 hours. Light and variable winds will eventually come around to the south at most sites today. Water vapor imagery shows an upper impulse lifting across southern nm/SW Texas and will spread some high/mid clouds across the region mainly tonight. Confidence is high that VFR conditions will remain in place through the next 24 hours. && Fire weather... issued at 206 am CST Mon Dec 17 2018 The combination of very strong northwest winds and dry air on Thursday afternoon will support very high grassland fire danger potential over the region. && Preliminary point temps/pops... Wichita-kict 57 34 56 38 / 0 0 0 10 Hutchinson 56 32 55 35 / 0 0 0 10 Newton 56 33 55 37 / 0 0 0 10 Eldorado 57 34 56 38 / 0 0 0 10 Winfield-kwld 58 34 56 39 / 0 0 0 20 Russell 57 31 54 30 / 0 0 0 0 Great Bend 56 32 54 30 / 0 0 0 0 Salina 56 32 55 35 / 0 0 0 10 McPherson 56 32 55 35 / 0 0 0 10 Coffeyville 57 33 57 42 / 0 0 0 20 Chanute 56 32 55 41 / 0 0 0 10 Iola 56 32 55 41 / 0 0 0 10 Parsons-kppf 56 34 56 42 / 0 0 0 20 && Ict watches/warnings/advisories... none. && $$

Return to Current Conditions

Features

Weather Apps

WunderRadio

Weather Underground Apps
Check out our wide variety of mobile and setup applications.

Weather Underground Applications

Top of Page

© Copyright 2018
The Weather Company, LLC