Scientific Forecaster Discussion

000 fxus63 kict 240849 afdict Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Wichita Kansas 249 am CST Wed Jan 24 2018 Short term...(today through Friday night) issued at 229 am CST Wed Jan 24 2018 Upper ridging will remain in control with downslope westerly flow associated with this ridge leading to continued dry conditions and a gradual warming trend. Expect the warming trend to continue for Thu, as the ridge over The Rockies flattens out with zonal flow across most of the plains. This will lead to southerly surface flow increasing for Thu, with S-SW winds becoming very breezy for Thu afternoon/Thu evening. The strong winds will lead to downslope flow being maximized with Max temps warming to near record levels for portions for south central Kansas. The strong winds and dry conditions will also lead to elevated fire weather concerns. See the fire weather section below for more details. A quick hitting system looks to move across the northern plains for Fri afternoon into Fri night. Due to quick nature of the system, low level moisture will be slow return to the area as the system approaches, with areas east of the Flint Hills having a small chance of rain or rain possibly changing to snow for Fri night. Not expecting any impacts with very light amounts of wintry precip expected. Ketcham Long term...(saturday through tuesday) issued at 229 am CST Wed Jan 24 2018 Medium range models all suggest that weak ridging returns to the plains for the rest of the weekend, with seasonal or slightly above normal temps leading into the beginning of next week. Ketcham && Aviation...(for the 06z tafs through 06z Wednesday night) issued at 1126 PM CST Tue Jan 23 2018 VFR conditions expected to prevail thru the forecast valid period. Surface high pressure ridge will slide east across the area late tonight through Wednesday. Light northwest winds will back to south-southwest on Wednesday and become gusty across central Kansas in the afternoon. Ked && Fire weather... issued at 229 am CST Wed Jan 24 2018 Very high grassland fire danger is expected across central, south central, and southeast Kansas on Thursday, with some areas possibly reaching the extreme category across south central Kansas. Temperatures are expected to be well above normal (low to mid 60s). When combined with cured grasses, strong gusty winds, and low relative humidity values, this will lead to elevated fire concerns. Outdoor burning on Thursday is strongly discouraged. A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for this concern. Ketcham && Preliminary point temps/pops... Wichita-kict 54 33 63 40 / 0 0 0 0 Hutchinson 54 31 62 39 / 0 0 0 0 Newton 52 32 62 39 / 0 0 0 0 Eldorado 52 34 61 40 / 0 0 0 0 Winfield-kwld 54 34 62 42 / 0 0 0 0 Russell 55 25 62 37 / 0 0 0 0 Great Bend 55 27 63 36 / 0 0 0 0 Salina 52 29 61 40 / 0 0 0 0 McPherson 53 30 61 39 / 0 0 0 0 Coffeyville 54 34 63 42 / 0 0 0 10 Chanute 52 33 62 41 / 0 0 0 0 Iola 52 33 61 41 / 0 0 0 0 Parsons-kppf 53 33 62 41 / 0 0 0 0 && Ict watches/warnings/advisories... Fire Weather Watch Thursday afternoon for ksz067>070-082-083- 091>094-098. && $$

Return to Current Conditions

Features

Weather Apps

WunderRadio

Weather Underground Apps
Check out our wide variety of mobile and setup applications.

Weather Underground Applications

Top of Page

© Copyright 2018
The Weather Company, LLC