Scientific Forecaster Discussion

000 fxus64 kshv 241800 afdshv Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Shreveport la 100 PM CDT Wed Apr 24 2019 Aviation... biggest issue this forecast package is timing the showers and thunderstorms ahead of the surface low. Have placed vcsh or thunderstorms in the vicinity in the Texas sites and shv as the convection makes its way into the region this afternoon. Went predominant thunder for most sites this evening from west to east with a later time of arrival for eld and mlu. Then, after about a 4 to 6 hour timeframe of thunder, light rain has been added for a few hours towards daybreak. A number of sites may see IFR ceilings around daybreak while gusty west winds will increase after daybreak for all sites. /35/ && Preliminary point temps/pops... shv 75 62 76 58 / 50 90 70 20 mlu 77 65 77 59 / 20 70 80 40 deq 70 61 74 53 / 60 90 80 10 txk 72 61 72 56 / 60 90 80 10 eld 74 63 73 56 / 30 80 80 30 tyr 70 61 75 57 / 80 90 60 10 ggg 71 60 75 57 / 70 90 60 10 lfk 76 61 77 59 / 60 90 50 10 && Shv watches/warnings/advisories... Arkansas...none. La...none.

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